OS X to be replaced by Windows?

One person starts smoking virtual crack, seems that everyone has to join in. The article, published on PC Magazine’s Website, has stirred a crapstorm of debate about this possibility. Although I’ve responded once, I might as well follow it up.

Some debates really get on my nerves, and by far the biggest offender is the “Mac-versus-PC” debate. Each time I hear two half-wits arguing that what they use is better than the other, I want to grab both of them by the back of their skulls, Three-Stooges-style, and smack their heads together. I never hear debates about which hammer, screw driver, washer and dryer combo, television, DVD player, boom box, or anything else to use; yet, for some odd reason computers have to get the geeks in us all boiled up when people spew stupid against them.

Such is the stance that most of the Mac Bloggers I have seen so far have taken against Dvorak’s odd theory. (For those not bothering to click on the link, Dvorak’s notion is that OS X will eventually be dropped in favor of Windows.) Every one of them has a similar opinion, that Dvorak is finally off his rocker. (I could have said it sooner, but not everything the man has said these past few years has been off the mark either, and I do find him entertaining anyways.) While I agree with them on this one, Dvorak has some interesting points, and there may be some plausability to what he has here.
For example, Microsoft has helped out Windows, and offered an odd message to continue support for another 5 years on Microsoft Office. This, while cutting back on areas that are gaining ground, like Windows Media Player; and are standardizing in some areas, like Internet Explorer. Both, in the last couple of years, have not had support for MS, and, in the case of IE, has been yanked from being downloadable. There are now certain sites that are WMP-only, and although there’s only a few major companies trumpeting IE-only, the stranglehold they have in certain business areas is still there.

Apple’s two attempts in the second Job’s coming, the “Apple Switch” campaign and the iPod design and marketing attempt with and on newer mac machines have had little impact on PC users they’re trying to convert. Although I think this is more due to other factors, such as misconception and (most of all) cost, the two marketing strategies did fail.

And the Switch to Intel? This is one of many areas where I disagree with Dvorak’s theory, as the assumption is that it’s the hardware alone that makes the difference between the Mac and the PC. It’s also why I think it’s just another pointless debate in the endless Mac-Vs.-PC war: Anyone who thinks that one piece, hardware or software, is the sole factor in what makes one way better than the other, has no clue about what they are doing. There is very little one OS or machine can do better than the other, and although each have their victories over the other, every OS, and every hardware platform, has had major flaws that have kept it from being “The Perfect Computer.” What matters to me is whether or not I can get the job done I need or want to do.

I don’t buy Apple’s assertion that Intel was “The best choice,” as others have come up with bigger and better ways of dong things, and IBM and Motorola are still doing well with the PowerPC hardware. I never bought into the Megahertz myth, not because of the architecture of the processor, but of the way the OSes themselves were holding them back, and how the major computer manufacturers were shooting themselves in the foot. (By going multiprocessor, they have opened the first steps to getting around these shortcomings.) Dvorak’s theory, that they’re setting Macintoshes up to run Windows, is just as plausible as these theories – and just as preposterous.

There’s an example – since Dvorak brought many good example’s, I can bring one – why Apple would be out of their freaking gourd to do so: Commodore. before going out of business in the US, the last few computers Commodore built weren’t based on the Amiga or the C-64 lines, but were actual Windows PCs. Granted, Commodore was smaller than Apple, but at one time they were among the Top Three; and Commodore never received the help Apple has either, but that’s al the more reason why Apple wouldn’t get rid of OS X.

Yes, Apple and MS could have been in bed together for a long time, and setting us Mac Users up for a major switch to a 99% Windows world, but the likely hood of that happening is slim and none – I have better odds of getting last Tuesday’s MegaMillion’s jackpot – I didn’t even bother playing last Tuesday. While Dvorak might be right, my magic eightball says “probably not.” (Oh, wait, do I have one of those?)


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